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Top Stories from Modern at Grand Prix Calgary

Top Stories from Modern at Grand Prix Calgary

As soon as once more, I mined all out there info from the newest Trendy Grand Prix for all that it’s value. With a tinier turnout and entry to solely somewhat over 60% of gamers’ deck information, the outcomes will not be as spectacular this time as those for Bilbao. However there’s information to notice and beforehand unpublished lists to share. Listed here are the highest tales.

Izzet Phoenix had been probably the most performed deck at every of the earlier three Trendy GPs. The deck’s metagame share even elevated from 10% in Los Angeles to 12.2% in Tampa and 13.four% in Bilbao. Calgary painted a special image.

It’s potential that the remainder of the sector included a disproportionate variety of Izzet Phoenix followers, and that the deck pulled even with or forward of Burn. However both method, this marks a break from the development of ever-growing numbers of Izzet gamers flooding the format.

On the flip aspect, we will’t learn a metagame improvement into the truth that Burn gained the recognition contest. In any case, Burn persistently positioned among the many worst performers at earlier occasions. We should always moderately chalk it as much as native preferences. Burn had additionally been probably the most performed deck at Grand Prix Toronto in February, pink and white are the colours of Canada’s nationwide flag, and other people in colder climates might merely wish to burn stuff.

Izzet pilots transformed Day 1 into Day 2 appearances at a stellar fee.

However Hardened Scales did even higher, a minimum of inside our pattern. General, 113 of 577 recognized decks superior to the second day, making for a mean conversion fee of 19.6%. Scales, Izzet Phoenix, Dying’s Shadow, and White-Blue Management outperformed this common, whereas Spirits, Amulet Titan, Jund, Purple Phoenix, Jeskai Management, and Pink-Inexperienced Valakut fared notably worse than common. In fact, the pattern’s one remaining Valakut participant did fairly nicely for himself on Sunday, profitable the entire thing.

All in all, the above warrants a little bit of skepticism. Any points with the unique pattern discover themselves naturally exacerbated down the road when taking a look at fractions of factions.

I seemed for some bigger—and thus extra dependable—numbers among the many decks’ data throughout the entire event’s 15 rounds of Swiss plus Prime eight playoffs. Most went about even, even Burn for as soon as.

Not one of the main archetypes’ performances stood a easy check of statistical significance: a deck that wins 50% of its matches would generate data at the least as excessive as those noticed with a chance above 5%. That very same chance remained under 10% just for the next 5:

Dana Fischer ended up the very best ending Elves participant I might discover, and never for the primary time both. Simply think about how properly she’d do if Elves have been in a stronger place in at the moment’s Trendy.

I’m not going to get into matchups, as a result of the samples didn’t permit for significant inferences.

The Prime eight decks exhibited a few of the previous variety once more for which the format had as soon as been well-known/feared.

Six of them largely adopted the acquainted recipes for his or her respective archetype. Two stood out: The champion’s Primeval Titan/By way of the Breach deck splashed a little bit of black for minor upgrades to the primary deck’s removing suite in addition to main upgrades to the sideboard. And the second blue-red deck within the Prime eight eschewed Arclight Phoenix in favor of extra management parts, however retained Factor within the Ice for at the least some potential explosiveness.

The subsequent eight gamers in line, all of whom went 12-Three, added Tron, Affinity, Shadow Zoo, Burn, and Hardened Scales to the combination. The Rock, Izzet Phoenix, and White-Blue Management remained the one repeats among the many full Prime 16.

Most of them seemed just about just like the stockiest of inventory lists, full with the now-standard Experimental Frenzy in Affinity. For instance, the next have to be simply concerning the quintessential Burn model:


Adam Barnett’s, 15th place (12-Three) at Grand Prix Calgary

1 Arid Mesa
four Inspiring Vantage
2 Sacred Foundry
Three Scalding Tarn
four Wooded Foothills
5 Mountain
four Eidolon of the Nice Revel
four Goblin Information
four Monastery Swiftspear
four Boros Allure
four Lava Spike
1 Mild Up the Stage
four Lightning Bolt
four Lightning Helix
four Rift Bolt
four Searing Blaze
four Skewer the Critics

1 Deflecting Palm
1 Beautiful Firecraft
1 Molten Rain
Three Path to Exile
Three Relaxation in Peace
four Skullcrack
2 Smash to Smithereens

Two of the Prime 16 decks, then again, deserve additional consideration.

Shadow Zoo already loved success just lately. At Grand Prix Bilbao, one such deck had positioned inside the Prime eight. Now one other one made it to the Prime 16 in Calgary. Or quite, the identical did. The 2 lists differed in a grand complete of 4 sideboard playing cards.

Shadow Zoo

Nathaniel Knox, 14th place (12-Three) at Grand Prix Calgary

1 Blood Crypt
four Bloodstained Mire
1 Godless Shrine
1 Overgrown Tomb
1 Sacred Foundry
1 Stomping Floor
four Verdant Catacombs
four Wooded Foothills
1 Forest
four Demise’s Shadow
four Monastery Swiftspear
four Road Wraith
four Tarmogoyf
four Wild Nacatl
Three Turn out to be Immense
2 Dismember
2 Lightning Bolt
four Mishra’s Bauble
Three Mutagenic Progress
four Temur Battle Rage
four Thoughtseize

1 Historic Grudge
2 Murderer’s Trophy
1 Declare/Fame
1 Collective Brutality
2 Religion’s Defend
2 Deadly Push
2 Hooting Mandrills
1 Liliana of the Veil
1 Ravenous Lure
2 Surgical Extraction

It’s hardly greater than anecdotal proof at this level. Shadow Zoo had ten gamers within the operating in Bilbao, and the Calgary pattern included simply the one. However this suffices for Shadow Zoo to reestablish itself because the second most profitable Shadow construct behind the overwhelmingly extra fashionable Grixis.

There are also classes to be discovered from Calgary’s second most profitable White-Blue Management construct:

White-Blue Management

Simon Tubello, 13th place (12-Three) at Grand Prix Calgary

four Celestial Colonnade
four Area of Damage
four Flooded Strand
1 Glacial Fortress
2 Hallowed Fountain
1 Mystic Gate
6 Island
2 Plains
2 Jace, the Thoughts Sculptor
2 Teferi, Hero of Dominaria
Three Ancestral Imaginative and prescient
1 Condemn
Three Cryptic Command
1 Detention Sphere
2 Mana Leak
four Path to Exile
1 Remand
Three Relaxation in Peace
1 Revitalize
1 Runed Halo
1 Safe the Wastes
four Serum Visions
1 Settle the Wreckage
1 Spell Snare
1 Supreme Verdict
Three Terminus
1 Well timed Reinforcements

1 Cataclysmic Gearhulk
1 Celestial Purge
2 Dispel
2 Geist of Saint Traft
Three Leyline of Sanctity
1 Negate
2 Snapcaster Mage
2 Stony Silence
1 Vendilion Clique

Some individuals don’t like to make use of Terminus to do the heavy lifting of lifting creatures from the battlefield. Even notable management specialists might be seen just lately giving a nod to Supreme Verdict. However each White-Blue gamers in Calgary’s Prime 16 went with the miracle answer. Each additionally ran one Settle the Wreckage, 4 Path to Exile, and one Condemn. Extra everlasting solutions to threats like Arclight Phoenix and Bloodghast and Prized Amalgam appear to be at a premium.

Tubello included a few extra revolutionary tech elements as properly. Runed Halo is one piece of know-how that’s been getting a little bit of traction these days. Extra excessive, Tubello ran fundamental deck Relaxation in Peace as an alternative of the extra widespread Snapcaster Mage. The reward was a 2-Zero in recorded matches towards Izzet Phoenix and a 2-Zero in video games in Tubello’s single recorded run-in with Dredge.

A single encounter isn’t sufficient to talk of a development, however for comparability we will take a look at one other development—this one fairly clear: At Grand Prix Bilbao, White-Blue Management solely gained 28% of its 25 matches versus Dredge, making Dredge by far White-Blue’s weakest matchup.

Lastly, I’d like to attract consideration once more to at least one fringe technique that has remained firmly beneath the radar up to now regardless of considerably promising early outcomes. All of it started with the discharge of Electrodominance…

I solely know of two gamers who ran Blue-Pink Electro Finish at Grand Prix Toronto. One in every of them went 10-5. I solely know of two gamers who ran Blue-Purple Electro Finish at Grand Prix Calgary, and once more certainly one of them went 10-5. (All totally different individuals by the best way.) At Grand Prix Bilbao, one of many 4 Electro Finish gamers in attendance even posted a 12-Three document.

Electro Finish

Richard Neal, 64th place (10-5) at Grand Prix Calgary

2 Cascade Bluffs
four Scalding Tarn
four Spirebluff Canal
2 Steam Vents
2 Tolaria West
four Island
1 Mountain
four Curator of Mysteries
four Desert Cerodon
2 Faerie Macabre
Three Road Wraith
four Striped Riverwinder
four Ancestral Imaginative and prescient
four As Foretold
four Cryptic Command
four Electrodominance
four Dwelling Finish
four Remand

2 Abrade
Three Chalice of the Void
Three Fulminator Mage
four Leyline of Sanctity
2 Negate
1 Tormod’s Crypt

It’s arduous to say whether or not or not the deck is for actual. In distinction, it’s tremendous straightforward to notice that the deck is criminally underplayed in comparison with the outcomes it’s been getting. I’d like to see extra knowledge, so perhaps give it a attempt at your subsequent Trendy GP and let me know by way of Twitter.

An image of GP Calgary's top 16 decks based on the top 16, Day 2 percentage, and Day 1 percentage.

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